Conf = NAIA - Appalachia State = KY
Nickname = Patriots Coach = Kelly BuikusGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.7162781 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Marian (IN) NAIA - WHAC ( 9- 6, 91.9) 16-15 223 A Keiser NAIA - Sun (10- 8, 93.7) 21- 9 226 A Ave Maria NAIA - Sun ( 7- 6, 92.9) 11- 3 301 A Life NAIA - Sun (11- 5, 93.8) 12-11 304 H Benedictine (KS) NAIA - Heart (13- 4, 93.7) 19- 9 307 H Albion MIAA ( 7- 9, 73.0) 15- 3 310 H Indiana Tech NAIA - WHAC (13- 4, 93.1) 17-13 312 H Missouri Baptist NAIA - KCAC (15- 3, 93.6) 18-13 316 A Siena Heights NAIA - WHAC ( 7- 8, 87.2) 19-40 318 H Lawrence Tech NAIA - WHAC (15- 2, 95.7) 12- 9 321 H Reinhardt NAIA - Appala (17- 1, 99.9) 9-10 323 H Oberlin North Coast ( 5-12, 79.3) 14- 3 327 A Montreat NAIA - Appala ( 7- 8, 85.9) 21- 1 330 H St Andrews NAIA - Appala ( 1-11, 72.9) 23- 1 401 H Ottawa NAIA - KCAC ( 7- 8, 87.2) 22- 2 403 H Tennessee Wesleyan NAIA - Appala ( 3-12, 81.3) 21- 2 405 H Truett McConnell NAIA - Appala ( 3-12, 80.0) 24- 2 410 A Georgetown KY NAIA - Appala ( 6-12, 87.0) 18- 8 419 H Montreat NAIA - Appala ( 7- 8, 85.9) 26- 5 420 H Reinhardt NAIA - Appala (17- 1, 99.9) 11-17 501 N Keiser NAIA - Sun (10- 8, 93.7) 18-13 502 N Lawrence Tech NAIA - WHAC (15- 2, 95.7) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Marian (IN) 16-15 1 4 - -3.27 223 A Keiser 21- 9 12 1 ++ 5.45 226 A Ave Maria 11- 3 8 2 ++ 4.70 301 A Life 12-11 1 1 -0.41 304 H Benedictine (KS) 19- 9 10 2 ++ 4.47 307 H Albion 15- 3 12 23 n/a 310 H Indiana Tech 17-13 4 3 0.95 312 H Missouri Baptist 18-13 5 2 + 2.45 316 A Siena Heights 19-40 -21 8 --- -14.00 318 H Lawrence Tech 12- 9 3 0 + 2.47 321 H Reinhardt 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.71 323 H Oberlin 14- 3 11 16 n/a 327 A Montreat 21- 1 20 9 0.00 330 H St Andrews 23- 1 22 23 0.00 401 H Ottawa 22- 2 20 8 0.00 403 H Tennessee Wesleyan 21- 2 19 14 0.00 405 H Truett McConnell 24- 2 22 16 0.00 410 A Georgetown KY 18- 8 10 8 0.00 419 H Montreat 26- 5 21 10 0.00 420 H Reinhardt 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.29 501 N Keiser 18-13 5 2 + 2.97 502 N Lawrence Tech 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Siena Heights 19-40 -21 8 --- -14.00 502 N Lawrence Tech 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.06 217 H Marian (IN) 16-15 1 4 - -3.27 420 H Reinhardt 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Keiser 21- 9 12 1 ++ 5.45 226 A Ave Maria 11- 3 8 2 ++ 4.70 304 H Benedictine (KS) 19- 9 10 2 ++ 4.47 312 H Missouri Baptist 18-13 5 2 + 2.45 318 H Lawrence Tech 12- 9 3 0 + 2.47 321 H Reinhardt 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.71 501 N Keiser 18-13 5 2 + 2.97
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.72 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.67 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6435 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .6414 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 9.5 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 10 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 195. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 205. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 17.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0